Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007146 0.008338 0.009752 0.011578 0.013910 0.016838 0.020882
2025-06-29 0.005583 0.007008 0.008889 0.011636 0.015700 0.021777 0.032184
2025-07-06 0.004827 0.006366 0.008552 0.012047 0.017853 0.027918 0.049060
2025-07-13 0.004414 0.006061 0.008551 0.012859 0.020823 0.036817 0.078946
2025-07-20 0.004022 0.005697 0.008353 0.013254 0.023177 0.045961 0.121573
2025-07-27 0.003655 0.005303 0.008018 0.013294 0.024829 0.054703 0.179858
2025-08-03 0.003366 0.004988 0.007750 0.013378 0.026606 0.065245 0.275839
2025-08-10 0.003060 0.004604 0.007298 0.012981 0.027093 0.072490 0.386658
2025-08-17 0.002763 0.004201 0.006752 0.012270 0.026533 0.075899 0.493951
2025-08-24 0.002526 0.003878 0.006315 0.011711 0.026209 0.080206 0.652280
2025-08-31 0.002409 0.003754 0.006240 0.011952 0.028287 0.097163 1.236246
2025-09-07 0.002251 0.003542 0.005967 0.011673 0.028689 0.106999 2.005518
2025-09-14 0.002055 0.003258 0.005543 0.011026 0.027928 0.111541 3.065896
2025-09-21 0.001944 0.003123 0.005412 0.011094 0.029721 0.135801 10.253613
2025-09-28 0.001873 0.003053 0.005405 0.011480 0.032946 0.180080 226.070932
2025-10-05 0.001835 0.003043 0.005522 0.012239 0.038271 0.268438 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001771 0.002975 0.005503 0.012608 0.042291 0.373261 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001691 0.002869 0.005382 0.012645 0.044822 0.483396 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001621 0.002776 0.005280 0.012724 0.047733 0.646775 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001532 0.002637 0.005054 0.012353 0.047876 0.748357 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001434 0.002473 0.004756 0.011689 0.045903 0.762310 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001351 0.002336 0.004510 0.011165 0.044602 0.803201 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001313 0.002292 0.004485 0.011391 0.048380 1.197586 NaN